“We are not at a point in time, but on a curve,” Andrew Coyne reminds readers in his Globe and Mail opinion piece, “There’s reason for hope in Canada’s coronavirus data.”
Coyne proceeds to warn readers to advance with caution, things can change, and often do in short-tempered moments. “It’s not where the numbers are that matters, so much as where they’re going,” he wrote.
“Forecasting models are only as good as the assumptions built into them,” he defensively declares, sentences before delivering back to back observations that may well be the most inspiring information in this coronavirus pandemic.
Coyne’s first observation goes to Europe, ” Only two weeks ago, the number of reported cases in western Europe,… , was growing by about 15 per cent per day. By last week it had dropped to 10 per cent; it is now at around five.”
The second is Canadian, “In Canada, likewise, rates have fallen over the same period, albeit from a higher level: from 25 per cent to 15 per cent to less than 8 per cent.”
In a time of perpetual negativity, an ounce of good news can weigh a pound of hope. Thank-you Andrew.
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